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But it is impossible to do anything more than guess at variables such as L, the probably longevity of other advanced civilizations.

In new research, Adam Frank and Woodruff Sullivan offer a new equation (bottom row) to address a slightly different question: What is the number of advanced civilizations likely to have developed over the history of the observable universe?

The time of day that individuals begin and end work or school, and the coordination of mass transit, for example, usually remain constant year-round.

In contrast, an agrarian society's daily routines for work and personal conduct are more likely governed by the length of daylight hours and by solar time, which change seasonally because of the Earth's axial tilt.

So if we knew all intelligent life in our galaxy, over a quarter of the entire human race would be dedicated to diplomacy.

That’s a whole lot of new jobs you can create, NASA!

This co-production with the Metropolitan Opera, New York, and the Canadian Opera Company, Toronto is conducted by Vladimir Jurowski, with sets by Sabine Theunissen, costumes by Greta Goiris, video composition and editing by Catherine Meyburgh.

First, it reinterprets the Drake Equation as a colorful series of triangles rather than an esoteric math equation.

And it shows that unless the odds of advanced life evolving on a habitable planet are astonishingly low, then human kind is not the universe’s first technological, or advanced, civilization.

The paper, to be published in , also shows for the first time just what “pessimism” or “optimism” mean when it comes to estimating the likelihood of advanced extraterrestrial life.

North and south of the tropics daylight lasts longer in summer and shorter in winter, with the effect becoming greater as one moves away from the tropics.

By synchronously resetting all clocks in a region to one hour ahead of standard time (one hour "fast"), individuals who follow such a year-round schedule will wake an hour earlier than they would have otherwise; they will begin and complete daily work routines an hour earlier, and they will have available to them an extra hour of daylight after their workday activities.